000			02139cam a2200241 a 4500
005			20260319103825.0
008			100729s2011 nyuabf b 001 0 eng
020			_a0525951814 _qhc
040			_aDLC _cDLC _dBTCTA _dYDXCP _dEINCP _dC#P _dBUR _dBWX _dCDX _dVP@ _dZJI _dIAD _dDLC
042			_apcc
050	0	0	_aGE 149 _b.S65 2011
100	1		_aSmith, Laurence C.
245	1	4	_aThe world in 2050 : _bfour forces shaping civilization's northern future / _cLaurence C. Smith.
246	3		_aWorld in twenty-fifty
260			_aNew York : _bDutton, _cc2011.
300			_a322 p., [8] p. of plates : _bill., maps ; _c24 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 263-307) and index.
505	0		_aFlying into Fort McMurray -- Martell's hairy prize -- The push. A tale of teeming cities -- Iron, oil, and wind -- California browning, Shanghai drowning -- The pull. Two weddings and a computer model -- One if by land, two if by sea -- The third wave -- Good-bye harpoon, hello briefcase -- Alternate endings. The Pentagon report -- The new north.
520			_aWhat kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data--everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies--he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book.--From publisher description.
650		0	_aTwenty-first century _vForecasts.
942			_bIBS _cBK
999			_c37536 _d37536